Friday, January 11, 2008

Commodity currencies to shine again? (AUDUSD)



Stock market weakness had caused investors to temporarily abandon commodity currencies, resulting in their lag behind gold and oil for some time. Yesterday, we finally witnessed a decisive break of AUDUSD's downtrend line drawn since November. Its previous resistance at 0.8900-0.8920 now acts as short-term support. A failure to hold that level will impose a test on the 0.8830-0.8850 level, while I will certainly consider adding positions to any pullback to this level. Barring serious shocks from the stock market, we should see a push to at least 0.9100-0.9150.

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